RT Journal Article
SR Electronic
T1 Using Base Rates and Correlational Data to Supplement Clinical Risk Assessments
JF Journal of the American Academy of Psychiatry and the Law Online
JO J Am Acad Psychiatry Law
FD American Academy of Psychiatry and the Law
SP 391
OP 400
VO 41
IS 3
A1 Jaya Davis
A1 Jon R. Sorensen
YR 2013
UL http://jaapl.org/content/41/3/391.abstract
AB The current study is a partial replication of previous studies designed to estimate the level of risk posed by capital murder defendants. The study draws on data describing the behavior of nearly 2,000 incarcerated capital murderers to forecast violence propensity among defendants sentenced to life imprisonment. Logistic regression is used to model various violence outcomes, relying on the following predictors: age, educational attainment, prior imprisonment, and gang affiliation. This exercise is designed to illustrate how actuarial data may be used to anchor individualized clinical assessments of risk in capital murder trials.