PT  - JOURNAL ARTICLE
AU  - Faulkner, Larry R.
AU  - McFarland, Bentson H.
AU  - Bloom, Joseph D.
AU  - Stern, Thomas O.
TI  - A Methodology for Predicting the Effects of Changes in Civil Commitment Decision Making
DP  - 1986 Mar 01
TA  - Journal of the American Academy of Psychiatry and the Law Online
PG  - 71--80
VI  - 14
IP  - 1
4099  - http://jaapl.org/content/14/1/71.short
4100  - http://jaapl.org/content/14/1/71.full
SO  - J Am Acad Psychiatry Law1986 Mar 01; 14
AB  - We review a three-step civil commitment model and formulas for calculating the probability of release from commitment and the relative importance of the three steps in determining the outcome. New formulas are developed which enable predictions to be made about the effects of changes on the outcome of the three steps on the release probability. With the use of data from Oregon's civil commitment process, we present an example of the application of the methodology and conclude with a discussion of its major administrative and research implications.