PT  - JOURNAL ARTICLE
AU  - Davis, Jaya
AU  - Sorensen, Jon R.
TI  - Using Base Rates and Correlational Data to Supplement Clinical Risk Assessments
DP  - 2013 Sep 01
TA  - Journal of the American Academy of Psychiatry and the Law Online
PG  - 391--400
VI  - 41
IP  - 3
4099  - http://jaapl.org/content/41/3/391.short
4100  - http://jaapl.org/content/41/3/391.full
SO  - J Am Acad Psychiatry Law2013 Sep 01; 41
AB  - The current study is a partial replication of previous studies designed to estimate the level of risk posed by capital murder defendants. The study draws on data describing the behavior of nearly 2,000 incarcerated capital murderers to forecast violence propensity among defendants sentenced to life imprisonment. Logistic regression is used to model various violence outcomes, relying on the following predictors: age, educational attainment, prior imprisonment, and gang affiliation. This exercise is designed to illustrate how actuarial data may be used to anchor individualized clinical assessments of risk in capital murder trials.