Table 2

Counterfactual Estimation of Number of ERPOs Needed to Prevent One Suicide Death

Counterfactual Estimates
Observed Number of Suicide Deaths and Extrapolated Estimate of Suicide AttemptsSuicide AttemptsSuicide Deaths
Suicide MethodObserved Suicides, by MethodNational Case Fatality Rate (CFR)Estimated Suicide Attempts, by MethodFirearmOther MethodFirearmOther MethodTotal
Firearm200.9022.322.320.020.0
Drug or poison80.02416.0162.2253.8146.04.9150.9
Suffocation120.4228.911.317.610.17.317.5
Cutting20.01283.2110.4172.799.41.2100.6
Jumping20.287.22.84.42.51.23.7
Other10.0258.222.735.520.40.621.1
Total45815.8331.8484.0298.515.3313.8
Expected313.8
Observed45.0
Lives saved268.8
ERPOs4,583.0
Number of ERPOs per life saved17.1
  • CFR = case fatality rate; ERPO = extreme risk protection order