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OtherANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY

Sexually Violent Predators: The Risky Enterprise of Risk Assessment

Richard Rogers and Rebecca L. Jackson
Journal of the American Academy of Psychiatry and the Law Online January 2005, 33 (4) 523-528;
Richard Rogers
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Rebecca L. Jackson
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    Table 1

    Fulfillment of SVP Standards by Generic Risk-Assessment Measures

    Sequential Steps in SVP DeterminationsRisk Measures
    HCR-20SVR-20Static-99RRASORMnSost-RVRAGSORAGPCL-RPPG
    Step 1
        Assess specific mental disorders?V. limitedV. limitedNoNoV. limitedV. limitedLimitedNoNo
        Assess specific personality disorders?LimitedV. limitedNoNoNoLimitedLimitedNoNo
        Assess specific mental abnormalities?V. limitedV. limitedNoNoNoV. limitedLimitedV. limitedV. limited
    Step 2
        Assess volitional impairment?NoNoNoNoNoNoNoNoNo
    Step 3
        Assess volitional impairment arising directly from the clinical condition?NoNoNoNoNoNoNoNoNo
    Step 4
        Predict general sexual recidivism?NoMixedModerateModerateModerateLimitedLimitedLimitedLimited
        Predict violent sexual recidivism?NoPartially*V. limitedV. limitedModerateLimitedV. limitedV. limitedLimited
    Step 5
        Establish link between volitional impairment and sexual recidivism?NoNoNoNoNoNoNoNoNo
    Summary
        Number of steps minimally addressed†111112211
    • V. limited, very limited coverage or validation; limited, limited coverage or validation; mixed, mixed or divergent results; moderate, some coverage or validation.

    • * While predicting sexual violence, the SVR-20 uses an overly broad classification that includes sex offenses that are not necessarily violent: obscene letters or phone calls, distribution of pornography, voyeurism, and theft of fetish objects.

    • † Very limited coverage or validation offers so little data that it is not considered as even “minimal” in satisfying any individual step.

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Journal of the American Academy of Psychiatry and the Law Online: 33 (4)
Journal of the American Academy of Psychiatry and the Law Online
Vol. 33, Issue 4
1 Jan 2005
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Sexually Violent Predators: The Risky Enterprise of Risk Assessment
Richard Rogers, Rebecca L. Jackson
Journal of the American Academy of Psychiatry and the Law Online Jan 2005, 33 (4) 523-528;

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Richard Rogers, Rebecca L. Jackson
Journal of the American Academy of Psychiatry and the Law Online Jan 2005, 33 (4) 523-528;
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